Monday, March 10, 2025

Monday 10 March 2025 Morning Notes

Old school trading on Friday, flipped a few straddles for some quick cash. I'm also sufficiently loaded on SVOL Sep calls; however, it appears as though those will be bricks thanks to Captain Self-Destruct, aka Trump who insists on taking a shotgun to the face of American exceptionalism and wealth. "Bold strategy, we'll see if it pays off" (it won't). I wouldn't say I'm necessarily buying the dip with that trade, as much as I am fading the vol spike.. however, the vol spike is not fading (bad sign). I think everyone is expecting Trump to do an about-face on his capital-destroying policies, but what if he doesn't? How much lower does the market trade from here? His policies will absolutely trigger a recession which will be terrible for many, especially the core MAGA crowd. However, it'll be a veritable gold mine for vol traders like myself. 

Earnings season has essentially come to an end, which is good due to all of the other tradable angles going on now... anytime there's a market distortion, you'll find me trying to take advantage.

Yesterday AMC:
Today BMO:

Other News:

Follow through names to watch: AVGO, COST, HPE

GAINERS:


LOSERS:


Follow through watch:

Day before Y'day AMC: AVGO, BBAI, COST, GAP, HPE, IOT, SERV
Day before Y'day BMO:

Y'day Other News: IOT saw heavy put trading heading into #s, I think with Trumplestiltskin in office, it's every man for himself insider trading... Expect more to follow; GAP: +14% at 22.20; WBA: +7.5% at 11.40 on Sycamore deal; AVGO: +7% at 192;LUNR: -36% at 7.20 on lunar landing issues; HPE: -15% at 15.26; IOT: -8% at 38.48;

2 days ago AMC: MDB, MRVL, RGTI
2 days ago BMO: BURL, JD, KR, M

2 days ago other news: AVGO on watch for MRVL sympathy, also reports after the bell;

Friday, March 7, 2025

Friday 07 March 2025 Morning Notes

Had an issue with my router yesterday morning, which took me excessively long to troubleshoot. I literally spent more time troubleshooting the router yesterday morning than I had in the 9 yrs combined for the last router I owned. Kind of frustrating. My weekend homework assignment will be figuring out how to avoid that problem going forward. Adding to the frustration is the fact that I missed some good trading opportunities, so it goes. I did have a little lunchtime reprieve when I played some fantastic tennis.

Yesterday AMC: AVGO, BBAI, COST, GAP, HPE, IOT, SERV
Today BMO:

Other News: IOT saw heavy put trading heading into #s, I think with Trumplestiltskin in office, it's every man for himself insider trading... Expect more to follow.

Follow through names to watch: MRVL, MDB, BURL

GAINERS:
GAP: +14% at 22.20;
WBA: +7.5% at 11.40 on Sycamore deal;
AVGO: +7% at 192;

LOSERS:
LUNR: -36% at 7.20 on lunar landing issues;
HPE: -15% at 15.26;
IOT: -8% at 38.48;

Follow through watch:

Day before Y'day AMC: MDB, MRVL, RGTI
Day before Y'day BMO: BURL, JD, KR, M

Y'day Other News: AVGO on watch for MRVL sympathy, also reports after the bell;

2 days ago AMC: CRWD, EOSE, ROST
2 days ago BMO: ANF, CPB, FL

2 days ago other news:

Thursday, March 6, 2025

Thursday 06 Mar 2025 Morning Notes

No real trades of note yesterday.

Yesterday AMC: MDB, MRVL, RGTI
Today BMO: BURL, JD, KR, M

Other News: AVGO on watch for MRVL sympathy, also reports after the bell;

Follow through names to watch: CRWD, ANF, FL

GAINERS:

LOSERS:

Follow through watch:

Day before Y'day AMC: CRWD, EOSE, ROST
Day before Y'day BMO: ANF, CPB, FL

Y'day Other News:

2 days ago AMC: ASTS, GTLB, NFE, OKTA, SMR
2 days ago BMO: BBY, JWN, ONON, SE, TGT

2 days ago other news:

Wednesday, March 5, 2025

Wednesday 05 March 2025 Morning Notes

Tacked on a few more of the SVOL Sep 20 calls yesterday. Also flipped my last Jan '26 TQQQ put ratio spread for +30%.. mostly to look for opportunities elsewhere.

Yesterday AMC: CRWD, EOSE, ROST
Today BMO: ANF, CPB, FL

Other News:

Follow through names to watch: OKTA, GTLB, SMR, TGT


GAINERS:


LOSERS:

Follow through watch:

Day before Y'day AMC: ASTS, GTLB, NFE, OKTA, SMR
Day before Y'day BMO: BBY, JWN, ONON, SE, TGT

Y'day Other News:

2 days ago AMC:
2 days ago BMO: HUT, TGTX

2 days ago other news: Bitcoin names all popping on some absolutely absurd "United States strategic bitcoin reserve", what in the actual F; ALGM: +19% at 26.50 on BBG report of takeover interest from ON; MSTR: +15% at 294; CPRI: +8.6% at 23.86 on possible asset sale;

Tuesday, March 4, 2025

Tuesday 04 Mar 2025 Morning Notes

Trump taking a shotgun to the face of the long-running bull market for no good reason. Thankfully, I anticipated such assclownery and positioned myself to benefit from his chaos... just wish I hadn't flipped out of the majority of my TQQQ positions so early, still have my largest position on though. I may ring the register on that one and look to capitalize on today's vol spike to establish different positions elsewhere. I'm more than half the open interest in the SVOL Sep 20 strike calls, anticipating Trump to reverse course upon his panic attack when he sees the market reaction.

Yesterday AMC: ASTS, EBS, GTLB, NFE, OKTA, SMR
Today BMO: BBY, EVGO, JWN, ONON, SE, TGT

Other News:

Follow through names to watch:


GAINERS:


LOSERS:

Follow through watch:

Day before Y'day AMC:
Day before Y'day BMO: HUT, TGTX

Y'day Other News: Bitcoin names all popping on some absolutely absurd "United States strategic bitcoin reserve", what in the actual F; ALGM: +19% at 26.50 on BBG report of takeover interest from ON; MSTR: +15% at 294; CPRI: +8.6% at 23.86 on possible asset sale;

2 days ago AMC: ACHR, ADSK, BE, CLOV, DELL, EOG, HPQ, IOVA, MNST, MOS, NTAP, RDFN, RKLB, RKT, RUN, SOUN
2 days ago BMO: CLMT, FUBO, RXRX, WULF, SPR

2 days ago other news: SIG: +7.5% at 53.60 on PE stake and request for strategic review;