Tuesday 05 Nov 2024 Morning Notes

All of my attention is focused on the election. I'm all-in on fading the move in DJT, not because I think Trump won't win, but because I believe that whether he wins or loses, it's going to be a massive "sell the news" event sending this back down to the $15 area that it had been trading at. I literally have a lot riding on this one. I'll either clean house, or get smoked. I refuse to touch short calls of any sort, so it's all various put spreads.. and by various put spreads, I have probably 10+ different put spread positions on

Yesterday AMC: AIG, CLF, FANG, HIMS, ILMN, NXPI, PLTR, TEM, VRTX, WYNN
Today BMO: APO, DD, EMR, MLCO, MPC

Other News:

Follow through names to watch: CC, VKTX


GAINERS:
PLTR: +16% AT 48.15
DJT: +10% AT 37.70;
EMR: +5.4% AT 115.70;

LOSERS:
ADM: -9% AT 50.44;
NXPI: -6% AT 222;

Follow through watch:

Day before Y'day AMC:
Yesterday BMO: CC, CEG, FOXA, GIS, MAR, TGTX

Y'day Other News: VKTX traded as high as 92 in the pre-mkt after closing the day prior at 73, but then settled back down around the 73 area in the pre-mkt on drug news;

2 days ago AMC: AAPL, AMZN, ARDX, CAR, CTRA, INTC, TEAM, X
2 days ago BMO: ABR, CAH, CBOE, CHTR, CVX, W, XOM

2 days ago Other News:

Friday 01 Nov 2024 Morning Notes

AHHH! It's November already! Time absolutely flies, man. No trades of note yesterday; I did however flip a CROX $111 post earnings straddle for +22% overnight. The stock got crushed -22% on earnings and the straddle on Wednesday afternoon was marked for +/- 2.5% by Friday opex, seemed far too cheap given the earnings move. I also took advantage while I could of DJT traded north of $40 to load up on various far otm put spreads for cheap, looking to game a "sell the news" move lower. Looking for DJT to land somewhere around $15 by next week, which I don't think is unreasonable.

Yesterday AMC: AAPL, AMZN, ARDX, CAR, CTRA, INTC, TEAM, X
Today BMO: ABR, CAH, CBOE, CHTR, CVX, W, XOM

Other News:

Follow through names to watch: ROKU, TWLO,

GAINERS:

LOSERS:

Follow through watch:

Day before Y'day AMC: AFL, AMGN, AR, BHC, BKNG, CF, CLX, COIN, CVNA, DASH, EBAY, ETSY, GDDY, HLF, HOOD, LMND, MET, META, MGM, MSFT, MSTR, RIG, RIOT, ROKU, SBUX, TDOC, TWLO
Yesterday BMO: BMY, BTU, BUD, CI, CMCSA, COP, EL, GNRC, IP, K, LI, LNG, MA, MBLY, MO, MRK, NCLH, NKLA, PTON, RBLX, REGN, SHEL, SIRI, SO, UBER,

Y'day Other News:

2 days ago AMC: AMD, CMG, CZR, EA, ENVX, EQT, FSLR, GOOG, GOOGL, MDLZ, RDDT, SNAP, V
2 days ago BMO: ABBV, ADP, BIIB, CAT, GEHC, GSK, HES, HUM, KHC, LLY, SHAK, SMMT, UBS

2 days ago Other News:

Thursday 31 Oct 2024 Morning Notes

I flipped a few trades yesterday, a GEHC 90 straddle that I only landed 4 lots on that I quickly sold for +60%, short RDDT $100 puts from .86 to close at .20; and short SMCI 45 strike calls at .45 that I closed for .10. There was no shortage of opportunities yesterday. I was still fighting a tough head cold and coming off a 2nd night of poor sleep.

Yesterday AMC: AFL, AMGN, AR, BHC, BKNG, CF, CLX, COIN, CVNA, DASH, EBAY, ETSY, GDDY, HLF, HOOD, LMND, MET, META, MGM, MSFT, MSTR, RIG, RIOT, ROKU, SBUX, TDOC, TWLO
Today BMO: BMY, BTU, BUD, CI, CMCSA, COP, EL, GNRC, IP, K, LI, LNG, MA, MBLY, MO, MRK, NCLH, NKLA, PTON, RBLX, REGN, SHEL, SIRI, SO, UBER,

Other News:

Follow through names to watch: RDDT, SHAK, SMCI, SNAP, AMD

GAINERS:


LOSERS:


Follow through watch:

Day before Y'day AMC: AMD, CMG, CZR, EA, ENVX, EQT, FSLR, GOOG, GOOGL, MDLZ, RDDT, SNAP, V
Yesterday BMO: ABBV, ADP, BIIB, CAT, GEHC, GSK, HES, HUM, KHC, LLY, SHAK, SMMT, UBS

Y'day Other News:

2 days ago AMC: F, VFC, WM
2 days ago BMO: BP, CROX, DHI, EPD, GLW, HSBC, JBLU, MCD, PFE, PSX, PYPL, RCL, SOFI

2 days ago Other News:

Wednesday 29 Oct 2024 Morning Notes

I was in tough shape yesterday between a lack of sleep and a head cold, so I ended up bailing on tennis then sleeping from 930 am to 130 pm, felt worlds better after that.

Yesterday AMC: AMD, CMG, CZR, EA, ENVX, EQT, FSLR, GOOG, GOOGL, MDLZ, RDDT, SNAP, V
Today BMO: ABBV, ADP, BIIB, CAT, GEHC, GSK, HES, HUM, KHC, LLY, SHAK, SMMT, UBS

Other News:

Follow through names to watch: CROX, GLW, F,

GAINERS:


LOSERS:


Follow through watch:

Day before Y'day AMC: F, VFC, WM
Yesterday BMO: BP, CROX, DHI, EPD, GLW, HSBC, JBLU, MCD, PFE, PSX, PYPL, RCL, SOFI

Y'day Other News:

2 days ago AMC:
2 days ago BMO: ON

2 days ago Other News: GLUE: +135% at 11.45 on drug deal news; DJT: +21% at 47.10; SMR: +20% at 22.10; CSIQ: +18% at 15.85; CNC: -4% at 61.64;

Tuesday 29 Oct 2024 Morning Notes

No trades of note yesterday and I'm set to play tennis today at 11am.

Yesterday AMC: F, VFC, WM
Today BMO: BP, CROX, DHI, EPD, GLW, HSBC, JBLU, MCD, PFE, PSX, PYPL, RCL, SOFI

Other News:

Follow through names to watch:

GAINERS:


LOSERS:


Follow through watch:

Day before Y'day AMC:
Yesterday BMO: ON

Y'day Other News: GLUE: +135% at 11.45 on drug deal news; DJT: +21% at 47.10; SMR: +20% at 22.10; CSIQ: +18% at 15.85; CNC: -4% at 61.64;

2 days ago AMC: COF, DECK, DLR, DXCM, VALE, WDC
2 days ago BMO: AVTR, CL, CNC, NYCB